Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.227047 3.410843 3.606200 3.830470 4.082307 4.358169 4.685716
2025-09-07 2.910991 3.156345 3.430405 3.763123 4.161729 4.631657 5.240075
2025-09-14 2.670826 2.949689 3.272767 3.682227 4.199145 4.848220 5.758457
2025-09-21 2.476924 2.773370 3.126470 3.589342 4.199239 5.007694 6.227643
2025-09-28 2.359481 2.675438 3.061623 3.584523 4.303461 5.311758 6.962412
2025-10-05 2.331642 2.682515 3.124485 3.746670 4.648881 6.012103 8.520499
2025-10-12 2.263646 2.631771 3.105826 3.793083 4.832203 6.502554 9.921519
2025-10-19 2.200179 2.581250 3.081516 3.826055 4.996063 6.993182 11.570233
2025-10-26 2.163763 2.562929 3.097831 3.917080 5.261860 7.727604 14.293507
2025-11-02 2.099123 2.502172 3.049750 3.904984 5.352546 8.151019 16.588362
2025-11-09 2.006986 2.399192 2.935370 3.780351 5.231203 8.108583 17.364356
2025-11-16 1.934893 2.320655 2.851841 3.697783 5.175116 8.196957 18.761781
2025-11-23 1.874729 2.260681 2.798485 3.670060 5.236583 8.619557 22.524171
2025-11-30 1.808455 2.189745 2.725903 3.606652 5.226103 8.883153 26.377445
2025-12-07 1.743816 2.118547 2.649410 3.531262 5.184021 9.063905 30.616569
2025-12-14 1.681076 2.047606 2.569846 3.444985 5.110184 9.144868 34.862104
2025-12-21 1.643437 2.010924 2.539909 3.440356 5.201747 9.732996 49.311923
2025-12-28 1.645177 2.030694 2.596672 3.590205 5.645947 11.677041 213.052256
2026-01-04 1.621987 2.012788 2.593543 3.632990 5.864243 13.057124 NaN
2026-01-11 1.597600 1.991927 2.584313 3.663370 6.060346 14.556138 NaN
2026-01-18 1.585488 1.988685 2.602813 3.747208 6.408370 17.252058 NaN
2026-01-25 1.555472 1.957172 2.573497 3.736065 6.508581 18.800181 NaN
2026-02-01 1.507356 1.896700 2.494119 3.621188 6.309859 18.242234 NaN